othercriteria comments on Thoughts on the Singularity Institute (SI) - Less Wrong
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That's definitely a reasonable assessment. I dialed all those estimates down by about an order of magnitude from when I started writing that point as I thought through just how unusual attempting general AI is. But over sixty years and hundreds of institutions where one might get a sufficiently solid background in CS to implement something big, there are going to be lots of unusual people trying things out.