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Mercurial comments on Thoughts on the Singularity Institute (SI) - Less Wrong

238 Post author: HoldenKarnofsky 11 May 2012 04:31AM

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Comment author: taw 23 May 2012 12:32:48PM 2 points [-]

The diagram comes from Wikipedia (tineye says this) but it seems they recently started merging and reshuffling content in all energy-related articles, so I can no longer find it there.

That's total energy available of course, not any 5 year projection.

Comment author: Mercurial 24 May 2012 07:03:21PM 2 points [-]

Thank you!

Do you happen to know anything about the claim that we're running out of the supplies we need to build solar panels needed to tap into all that wonderful sunlight?

Comment author: taw 27 May 2012 05:13:46AM 0 points [-]

Solar panel prices are on long term downward trend, but in the short term they were very far from smooth over the last few years, having very rapid increases and decreases as demand and production capacity mismatched both ways.

This issue isn't specific to solar panels, all commodities from oil to metals to food to RAM chips had massive price swings over the last few years.

There's no long term problem since we can make solar panels from just about anything - materials like silicon are available in essentially infinite quantities (manufacturing capacity is the issue, not raw materials), and for thin film you need small amounts of materials.

Comment author: private_messaging 27 May 2012 06:04:39AM *  -3 points [-]

Usual crap likely originating from pro-nuclear activists. The nuclear is the only green energy source which can run out of essential material (zirconium) for real and couldn't easily substitute anything for zirconium. edit: note. I do see nuclear power as in principle green, but I also seen a plenty of pro nuclear articles which diss all other green energy sources on bs grounds and promote misconceptions.

The solar panels use silicon and very very tiny amounts of anything else. The silicon is everywhere.

There's similar claim that the wind turbine construction would run out of neodymium (which is used in magnets), never mind that neodymium magnets are not essential and are only used because its relatively cheap, and increases efficiency by couple percent while cutting down on amount of necessary copper and iron. I.e. run out of neodymium, no big deal, the price of wind energy will rise a few percent.