On that, I'm pretty sure that the SI would not rush that way. Consider the parable of the dragon. This isn't the story of someone who's willing to cut corners, but of someone who accepts that delays for checking, even delays that cause people to die, are necessary.
Plus, if they develop a clear enough architecture, so one can query what the AI is thinking, then one would be able to see potential future failures while still in testing, without having to have those contingencies actually occur. That will be one of the keys, I think. Make the AI's reasons something that we can follow, even if we couldn't generate those arguments on a reasonable time-frame.
I was wondering - what fraction of people here agree with Holden's advice regarding donations, and his arguments? What fraction assumes there is a good chance he is essentially correct? What fraction finds it necessary to determine whenever Holden is essentially correct in his assessment, before working on counter argumentation, acknowledging that such investigation should be able to result in dissolution or suspension of SI?
It would seem to me, from the response, that the chosen course of action is to try to improve the presentation of the argument, rather than to try to verify truth values of the assertions (with the non-negligible likelihood of assertions being found false instead). This strikes me as very odd stance.
Ultimately: why SI seems certain that it has badly presented some valid reasoning, rather than tried to present some invalid reasoning?
edit: I am interested in knowing why people agree/disagree with Holden, and what likehood they give to him being essentially correct, rather than a number or a ratio (that would be subject to selection bias).