Tetronian comments on How many people here agree with Holden? [Actually, who agrees with Holden?] - Less Wrong
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Comments (105)
I maintain that this is a very hard problem. We know what the correct answers to various cognitive bias quizzes are (e.g. the conjunction fallacy questions questions), but it's not clear that aggregating a lot of these tests corresponds to what we really mean when we say "rationality".
Gotta start somewhere. I proposed a step that may or may not lead in the right direction, leveling a criticism that it does not solve the whole problem at once is not very productive. Even the hardest problems tend to yield to incremental approaches. If you have a better idea, by all means, suggest it.
I'm not trying to be negative for the sake of being negative, or even for the sake of criticizing your proposal--I was disagreeing with your prediction that CFAR will have an easier time of meeting GiveWell's requirements.
(I actually like your proposal quite a bit, and I think it's an avenue that CFAR should investigate. But I still think that the verification problem is hard, and hence I predict that CFAR will not be very good at providing GiveWell with a workable rationality metric.)