CuSithBell comments on I Stand by the Sequences - Less Wrong

14 Post author: Grognor 15 May 2012 10:21AM

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Comment author: CuSithBell 16 May 2012 01:01:59AM *  3 points [-]

But Grognor (not, as this comment read earlier, army1987) said that "we mere mortals can do better with Bayes", not that "an ideal bayesian unconstrained with signaling could completely outdo our current scientific system". Arguing, in response to cousin_it, that scientists are concerned with signalling makes the claim even stronger, and the question more compelling - "why aren't we doing better already?"

Comment author: [deleted] 16 May 2012 02:24:06PM *  2 points [-]

I had taken “we” to mean the 21st-century civilization in general rather than just Bayesians, and the question to mean “why is science doing so bad, if it could do much better just by using Bayes”?

Comment author: CuSithBell 16 May 2012 03:14:19PM 2 points [-]

I'm fairly confident that "we" refers to LW / Bayesians, especially given the response to your comment earlier. Unfortunately we've got a bunch of comments addressing a different question, and some providing reasons why we shouldn't expect to be "doing better", all of which strengthen cousin_it's question, as Grognor claims we can. Though naturally Grognor's intended meanings are up for grabs.