Vaniver comments on Review: Selfish Reasons to Have More Kids - Less Wrong
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So, given that it's a parenting book that argues "heredity dominates, so don't worry too much about how you parent so long as you don't do any huge damage," I would expect it to undersell relative to parenting books that take the opposite tack- because it appeals to lazier parents who are less likely to buy books. (As far as I can tell, Caplan is reading the literature correctly.)