Series: How to Purchase AI Risk Reduction
Here's another way we might purchase existential risk reduction: the production of short primers on crucial topics.
Resources like The Sequences and NickBostrom.com have been incredibly effective at gathering and creating a community engaged in x-risk reduction (either through direct action or, perhaps more importantly, through donations), but most people who could make a difference probably won't take the time to read The Sequences or academic papers.
One solution? Short primers on crucial topics.
Facing the Singularity is one example. I'm waiting for some work from remote researchers before I write the last chapter, but once it's complete we'll produce a PDF version and a Kindle version. Already, several people (including Jaan Tallinn) use it as a standard introduction they send to AI risk newbies.
Similar documents (say, 10 pages in length) could be produced for topics like Existential Risk, AI Risk, Friendly AI, Optimal Philanthropy, and Rationality. These would be concise, fun to read, and emotionally engaging, while also being accurate and thoroughly hyperlinked/referenced to fuller explanations of each section and major idea (on LessWrong, in academic papers, etc.).
These could even be printed and left lying around wherever we think is most important: say, at the top math, computer science, and formal philosophy departments in the English-speaking world.
The major difficulty in executing such a project would be in finding good writers with the relevant knowledge. Eliezer, Yvain, and myself might qualify, but right now the three of us are otherwise occupied. The time investment of the primary author(s) could be minimized by outsourcing as much of the work as possible to SI's team of remote researchers, writers, and editors.
Estimated cost per primer:
- 80 hours from primary author. (Well, if it's me. I've put about 60 hours into the writing of Facing the Singularity so far, which is of similar length to the proposed primers but I'm adding some padding to the estimate.)
- $4,000 on remote research. (Tracking down statistics and references, etc.)
- $1000 on book design, Kindle version production, etc.
Before you continue with this you should maybe try to get someone important read 'Facing the Singularity' without trying too hard. If that doesn't work then...
I have my doubts that someone like Terence Tao would read your primer.
For some time now I am watching the real-time stats for my homepage, especially when I post links at places where people of similar calibre to Terence Tao are chatting. And I seldom get more than 2 clicks, even if more than 20 people converse in that thread.
Now it is true that I am a nobody, why would they read a post written on my personal blog? But how would they know that something called 'Facing the Singularity' is more worthy of their attention?
If I really wanted to I would probably be able to get them read my stuff. But that's difficult and would probably take a middleman who shares a link to it on his blog/Google+/Facebook page and whose stuff is subsequently read by top-notch people.