But if you do care, it might be fun for you: why would someone with my goals do what I'm doing?
I've thought about it in the past and come up with all sorts of hypotheses. Some of them involve complex decision theoretical reasoning based off esoteric priors you have mentioned having and some are far more mundane. Unfortunately I do, in fact, conclude that you are mistaken. This implies that each of those hypotheses actually amounts to "reasoning which almost makes Will's conclusion the correct one but which is slightly flawed".
I'd be interested to hear actual reasons. Or partial reasons which could apply to an artificially constructed counterfactual person. But I cannot present a prediction of exactly what your own reasoning is with any confidence.
Thank you for your cooperation and understanding. Don't worry, there won't be future posts like this, so you don't have to delete my LessWrong account, and anyway I could make another, and another.
But since you've dared to read this far:
Credibility. Should you maximize it, or minimize it? Have I made an error?
Discuss.
Don't be shallow, don't just consider the obvious points. Consider that I've thought about this for many, many hours, and that you don't have any privileged information. Whence our disagreement, if one exists?