You Can (Not) Update, eh?

:D :D :D

That's what that song is called! Thanks!

Saabisu~ Saabisu~!

I think you're underestimating how carefully Eliezer and other SingInst folk have considered these ideas, especially in the wake of the Roko drama. Remember the main concept even showed up on SL4 years ago, which is actually how I learned of it. (That is, considered the ideas themselves, not the social strategies resulting—I'll note that the Catholics, who have the cultural wisdom, don't seem to have suppressed the knowledge of demons and ostracized people who demonized them, even if they went so far as to kill people who tried to commune with them. That said, suppressing that knowledge just wouldn't have been possible 'til after the Enlightenment. Also the Catholics might not have had good intentions.)

Maybe get a second opinion.

This is surprisingly hard to do in my current situation. If you're lucky you might guess the reasons why.

Any particular reason for this?

There are lots of reasons, they all have to do with group epistemology and personal moral-epistemic practices. I'll note that Steve Rayhawk, who is much smarter than me and almost certainly knows all of the arguments better than I do, seems to be equally obsessive in the exact opposite direction. But this isn't a place where I should update on expected evidence—if you don't know why you're doing something, you won't do it the right way.