DanielLC comments on Boltzmann Brains and Anthropic Reference Classes (Updated) - Less Wrong

-4 Post author: pragmatist 04 June 2012 04:04AM

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Comment author: DanArmak 04 June 2012 09:46:30PM 1 point [-]

Yes, yes, and yes - in the usual meaning of "belief". There are different-but-related meanings which are sometimes used, but the way you use it is completely unlike the usual meanings.

More importantly, your state that a BB can't have "beliefs" in your sense, which is a (re)definition - that merely makes your words unclear and misunderstood - but then you conclude that because you have "beliefs" you are not a BB. This is simply wrong, even using your own definition of "belief" - because under your definition, having "real beliefs" is not a measurable fact of someone's brain in reality, and so you can never make conclusions like "I have real beliefs" or "I am not a BB" based on your own brain state. (And all of our conclusions are based on our brain states.)

IOW: a BB similar to yourself, would reach the same conclusions as you - that it is not a BB - but it would be wrong. However, it would be reasoning from the exact same evidence as you. Therefore, your reasoning is faulty.

Comment author: pragmatist 04 June 2012 10:37:22PM -1 points [-]

IOW: a BB similar to yourself, would reach the same conclusions as you - that it is not a BB - but it would be wrong. However, it would be reasoning from the exact same evidence as you.

I disagree that it would be reasoning from the exact same evidence as me. I'm an externalist about evidence too, not just about belief.

Comment author: DanArmak 05 June 2012 11:06:13AM 1 point [-]

Again, you're using the word "evidence" differently from everyone else. This only serves to confuse the discussion.

Tabooing "evidence", what I was saying is that a BB would have the same initial brain-state (what I termed "evidence") and therefore would achieve the same final brain-state (what I termed "conclusions"). The laws of physics for its brain-state evolution, and the physical causality between the two states, are the same as for your brain. This is trivially so by the very definition of a BB that is sufficiently similar to your brain.

I don't know what you mean by "externalist evidence" and I don't see how it would matter. The considerations that apply here are exactly the same as in Eliezer's discussion of p-zombies. Imagine a BB which is a slightly larger fluctuation than a mere brain; it is a fluctuation of a whole body, which can live for a few seconds, and can speak and think in that time. It would think and say "I am conscious" for the same reasons as you do; therefore it is not a p-zombie. It would think and say "Barack Obama exists" for the same reasons as you do; therefore what everyone-but-you calls its knowledge and its beliefs about "Barack Obama", are of the same kind as yours.