Incorrect comments on Ask an experimental physicist - Less Wrong
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So is it impossible to guess and be lucky? Usually in this context the word "magic" would imply impossibility.
Well no, it's not impossible, but the chance of it happening is obviously 2^-N, where N is the number of bits required to specify the state. It follows that if you have 2^N states, you will get lucky and extract useful work once; which is, of course, the same amount of useful work you would get from 2^N states anyway, whether you'd made a guess or not. Even on the ignorance model of entropy, you cannot extract anything useful from randomness!