aaronde comments on Neuroscience basics for LessWrongians - Less Wrong

84 Post author: ChrisHallquist 26 July 2012 05:10AM

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Comment author: aaronde 24 July 2012 09:36:18PM 2 points [-]

Cool. Looks like there's no evidence yet one way or another.

Isn't there a place lesswrongers post predictions like this to check their calibration? I'd be willing to go on record with, say, 75% confidence that the most recent common ancestor of humans and chimps had more advanced tool use than modern chimps.

Comment author: gwern 25 July 2012 12:24:45AM 4 points [-]

Yes, PredictionBook.com, but your prediction would be difficult since it has no clear due date, and no clear judging - it'd be hard to date most recent common ancestor, date tools, or prove that the former was using the latter.