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Eugine_Nier comments on How confident is your atheism? - Less Wrong
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What's the probability that you're in a simulation? What's the probability that one of the religions in the simulation is a message from the simulator? And is the product of those probabilities really as small as 10^-50?
The simulation implies the Bible God as strongly as it implies the Little Red Riding Hood. How probable is that the naughty wolf is our simulator?
The big bad wolf, as described in the story, doesn't have the ability to create a stimulation (or do any programing whatsoever), whereas God, as described in the bible, does.
Oh no. The story deliberately hides the Wolf's powers. THAT is not very unlikely compared to the rest, is it?