Viliam_Bur comments on How confident is your atheism? - Less Wrong
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I didn't write it explicitly, but my 99% answer was based on reasoning like: there is a 1% chance that my way of reasoning is invalid because of something I am not aware of. That means, instead of 1% chance meeting Zeus, I estimate a 1% chance of some argument that could change my reasoning about the subject. In other words, it's not 1% chance that I am wrong about this, but rather 1% chance I am irrational about this.