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Grognor comments on Open Thread, June 16-30, 2012 - Less Wrong
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Some more SIAI-related work: looking for examples of costly real-world cognitive biases: http://dl.dropbox.com/u/85192141/bias-examples.page
One of the more interesting sources is Heuer's Psychology of Intelligence Analysis. I recommend it, for the unfamiliar political-military examples if nothing else. (It's also good background reading for understanding the argument diagramming software coming from the intelligence community, not that anyone on LW actually uses them.)
The cia.gov link leads to a redirect.
Weird. If you just replace
httpwithhttps, it works; one wonders why they couldn't just set up 301 redirects for all the old links...