[Link] You Should Downvote Contrarian Anecdotes

Vladimir_Golovin

http://thobbs.github.com/blog/2012/06/17/you-should-downvote-anecdotes/

Anecdotal evidence has been shown to have a greater influence on opinion than it logically deserves, most visibly when the anecdote conflicts with the reader’s opinion and when the reader is not highly analytical, even if the anecdotes are accompanying statistical evidence. Though the anecdotes may not totally sway you, they can easily leave you with the sense that the research findings aren’t as conclusive as they claim to be.

http://thobbs.github.com/blog/2012/06/17/you-should-downvote-anecdotes/

Anecdotal evidence has been shown to have a greater influence on opinion than it logically deserves, most visibly when the anecdote conflicts with the reader’s opinion and when the reader is not highly analytical, even if the anecdotes are accompanying statistical evidence. Though the anecdotes may not totally sway you, they can easily leave you with the sense that the research findings aren’t as conclusive as they claim to be.

Ioannidis showed very clearly, that as a general rule research findings aren't as conclusive as they claim to be. Research continuely shows that people suffer from overconfidence.

If contrarian anecdotes move you into being a bit more skeptical that's a good thing.

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[Link] You Should Downvote Contrarian Anecdotes

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[Link] You Should Downvote Contrarian Anecdotes

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