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John_Maxwell_IV comments on Help me make SI's arguments clear - Less Wrong
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From what I gathered SI's relevance rests upon an enormous conjunction of implied and a very narrow approach as solution, both of which were decided upon significant time in the past. Subsequently, truly microscopic probability of relevance is easily attained; I estimate at most 10^-20 due to multiple use of narrow guesses into a huge space of possibilities.
Hm, most of the immediate strategies SI is considering going forward strike me as fairly general:
http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/cs6/how_to_purchase_ai_risk_reduction/
They're also putting up these strategies for public scrutiny, suggesting they're open to changing their plans.
If you're referring to sponsoring an internal FAI team, Luke wrote:
BTW, I wish to reinforce you for the behavior of sharing a dissenting view (rationale: view sharing should be agnostic to dissent/assent profile, but sharing a dissenting view intuitively risks negative social consequences, an effect that would be nice to neutralize), so I voted you up.
Well, that's the Luke's aspirations; I was referring to the work done so far. The whole enterprise has the feeling of over optimistic startup with ill defined extremely ambitious goals; those don't have any success rate even for much much simpler goals.