tgb comments on Wisdom of the Crowd: not always so wise - Less Wrong

20 Post author: tgb 01 July 2012 08:55PM

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Comment author: tgb 04 July 2012 02:44:24AM 0 points [-]

Non-conclusive and I believe the experiment to be flawed as the average probably depends more on the two options than on what people believe. It might be more interesting as a way to test for anchoring - or unanchoring through showing two different options. But in short, neither option did well but the two-choice option did better when responders had consistently missed the actual value (the telephone question) and so both of the two choices were more correct than what most people were giving.