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MichaelHoward comments on Excuse me, would you like to take a survey? - Less Wrong
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What's your take on the simulation argument? If you've no strong opinion, pick the most likely:
<Edit - simplified main 3 propositions and clarified other options>
I would prefer a more general question about arguments of this form (doomsday argument, "thirdism" in the Sleeping Beauty problem, etc.). I know of very intelligent people who think such arguments are obviously sound and very intelligent people who think they are obviously unsound.
Count me in the camp that thinks they are obviously pointless.
One reason I'm interested in this is that people's choices vary but most people, myself included, believe their choice is clearly correct.
In fact, I'd ask for another question beneath it: If you picked one of the first 4 options, how confident are you that you're correct?
The question as phrased assumes that the simulation argument is valid if you accept the priors; you can say you're not familiar with the simulation argument but you can't say that you think it is wrong. This seems like another sign that opinions on this are strong - as stated this question reminds me of a push poll.
Yes you can, option 4, but if that isn't clear then it should be written as something like: 'I disagree with the simulation argument - none of the first 3 propositions are true.'