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gjm comments on Excuse me, would you like to take a survey? - Less Wrong
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I would prefer a more general question about arguments of this form (doomsday argument, "thirdism" in the Sleeping Beauty problem, etc.). I know of very intelligent people who think such arguments are obviously sound and very intelligent people who think they are obviously unsound.
Count me in the camp that thinks they are obviously pointless.
One reason I'm interested in this is that people's choices vary but most people, myself included, believe their choice is clearly correct.
In fact, I'd ask for another question beneath it: If you picked one of the first 4 options, how confident are you that you're correct?