Zvi comments on Excuse me, would you like to take a survey? - Less Wrong

12 Post author: Yvain 26 April 2009 09:23PM

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Comment author: MichaelHoward 26 April 2009 11:17:00PM *  4 points [-]

interesting questions...

What's your take on the simulation argument? If you've no strong opinion, pick the most likely:

  • The human species is very likely to go extinct before reaching a “posthuman” stage.
  • Any posthuman civilization is extremely unlikely to run a significant number of simulations of their evolutionary history (or variations thereof).
  • We are almost certainly living in a computer simulation.
  • I deny that at least one of the above propositions is true.
  • I'm unfamilier with the simulation argument.

<Edit - simplified main 3 propositions and clarified other options>

Comment author: Zvi 28 April 2009 12:58:20AM 0 points [-]

The question as phrased assumes that the simulation argument is valid if you accept the priors; you can say you're not familiar with the simulation argument but you can't say that you think it is wrong. This seems like another sign that opinions on this are strong - as stated this question reminds me of a push poll.

Comment author: MichaelHoward 28 April 2009 12:32:10PM 0 points [-]

you can say you're not familiar with the simulation argument but you can't say that you think it is wrong.

Yes you can, option 4, but if that isn't clear then it should be written as something like: 'I disagree with the simulation argument - none of the first 3 propositions are true.'

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