Expected payoff for whom?

In terms of expected utility.

I am new to this forum; as far as I remember I came here via the QM sequence. I was immediately impressed by the material, and became interested in other sequences (I have a long term interest in rationality, and especially general semantics.)

The QM sequence is most definitely not representative of either the sequences or the other material here.

Do you consider yourself to be a moderator of this forum? If so, why are you both moderating and rating comments? If not, why do you think your opinions are privileged?

I don't know what kind of forums you're used to, but on LW non-moderators are allowed to criticize other comments and everyone is allowed to vote on them.

Also one piece of advise, you may want to avoid comments like this one that are so full of jargon that nobody can tell what you're saying, but seem vaguely insulting.