NiklasF comments on Negative and Positive Selection - Less Wrong
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I would suggest talking to some programmers.
My intuition is that there's something of innate talent involved in programming, so that you can divide people into two populations: those whose brain makeup causes them to find programming intuitive and fascinating and cool, and those to whom it just doesn't make sense. If you're considering it as a career, presumably you fall into the first category. Beyond that, I would guess that conscientiousness is the biggest predictor–my one-semester programming elective was enough to show me that it's really time-consuming.
But I'm not a programmer by specialty. An unusual percentage of LWers are, though, so maybe someone can give you advice?