gjm comments on Theism, Wednesday, and Not Being Adopted - Less Wrong

56 Post author: Alicorn 27 April 2009 04:49PM

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Comment author: gjm 27 April 2009 07:20:38PM 0 points [-]

That's a lot of ifs.

If Wednesday deconverts, and then there's a positive singularity 30 years from now and it happens that some key people involved in its early stages are Mormons who somehow take steps to ensure that ex-Mormons get as little of the benefits as possible, then she will lose nearly everything on account of her deconversion. But so what?

Comment author: hamflask 28 April 2009 02:31:46AM 7 points [-]

I would say that a religious person dismissing cryonics is at least an order of magnitude more likely than the scenario you proposed.

Comment author: gjm 28 April 2009 09:06:00AM 4 points [-]

I take it you mean that the whole scenario MBlume proposed is at least an order of magnitude more likely than the whole scenario I proposed. Quite possibly; but not, I think, much more than an order of magnitude. And I don't think either scenario dominates the landscape in such a way that we can tell whether or not Wednesday should deconvert on the basis of that one scenario.

"If you do X, the very bad thing Y could be a consequence" is not generally a good argument for doing X.