gwern comments on Kurzweil's predictions: good accuracy, poor self-calibration - Less Wrong
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Comments (39)
A general point: given the time you spent on this, you could and should have graded more than 10 predictions.
If it makes you feel better, back when he assessed his predictions, I downloaded the PDF and remarked that he was clearly favoring himself and was often quietly redefining anything which existed in the lab or as doomed commercial products as widespread successes per his overall mood (and occasionally specific wording, as in the howler of voice transcription dominating typing).