NancyLebovitz comments on Kurzweil's predictions: good accuracy, poor self-calibration - Less Wrong

33 Post author: Stuart_Armstrong 11 July 2012 09:55AM

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Comment author: NancyLebovitz 16 July 2012 04:26:04PM 7 points [-]

If Kurzweil's self-calibration is too optimistic, does this imply that his newer predictions will tend to be less accurate?

Comment author: Stuart_Armstrong 24 July 2012 03:16:50PM 1 point [-]

Yes.