Ezekiel comments on Game Theory As A Dark Art - Less Wrong

50 Post author: Yvain 24 July 2012 03:27AM

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Comment author: Ezekiel 24 July 2012 03:31:32PM 19 points [-]

Read as:

the auction gains even more money from people who have seen it before [and are nevertheless willing to play again] than it does from naive bidders

Comment author: MarkusRamikin 24 July 2012 04:18:19PM *  2 points [-]

Right, of course. Selection effect.

I think what confused me was that I took that to mean the total amount of money earned, not per-person.

Comment author: nshepperd 25 July 2012 03:22:51PM *  2 points [-]

If I'm reading the link (thanks VincentYu!) correctly, your first impression was right. In the graduate class, total amounts earned were [1.95, 1.90, 2.15, 2.50] in that order for consecutive auctions. In the undergraduate class, [2.30, 2.05, 4.25, 3.50].

The number of people playing (bidding) did decrease (graduate: [5, 3, 4, 2], undergraduate: [6, 4, 3, 2]) in each round, but a selection effect is insufficient to explain the increase in total earnings, since there's no reason these "selected" people could not have bid equally as much in the first round.

ETA: Note that this is a two-highest-bidders-pay auction, not all-pay, so the increase in total earnings does reflect an average increase in individual bids as well.