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steven0461 comments on Wednesday depends on us. - Less Wrong
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I've heard (in conversation) that distributions of human abilities (such as IQ) have fat tails compared to normal distributions, so +7 SD would be more common than 1 in 10^12. I haven't found a good reference for this yet... if anyone else has one I'd like to see it.
Not an answer to your question, but according to this, at most about 1 in 200 people are at least at +7 SD if the distribution is unimodal and symmetric (unimodal for the theorem to apply, symmetric so you can divide by 2). 200 seems like a uselessly low number, so I'm now regretting having pointed people at that theorem previously. :-)
ETA: though, even the useless 1 in 200 bound seems like an unrealistically high level of reasoning ability for priests.