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skeptical_lurker comments on Russian plan for immortality [link] - Less Wrong
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Can anyone with a better historical perspective on these things tell me if there's a single recorded occurrence of the year 2045 being mentioned as the magic deadline for some cool futuristic thing before Permutation City was published? It just seems like I'm seeing that date a whole lot in these contexts.
Isn't it Kurzweil arguing that the singularity is going to happen in 2045 and who cares about confidence intervals?