UnholySmoke comments on How to come up with verbal probabilities - Less Wrong

24 Post author: jimmy 29 April 2009 08:35AM

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Comment author: UnholySmoke 30 April 2009 10:35:59AM 0 points [-]

Consider the question as if though you were actually going to put money on it .

My father calls this 'the £100 test'. Very useful heuristic when you want to find out what you actually believe.