steven0461 comments on How Not to be Stupid: Adorable Maybes - Less Wrong

-2 Post author: Psy-Kosh 29 April 2009 07:15PM

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Comment author: steven0461 30 April 2009 12:16:37AM *  2 points [-]

Haven't followed too closely, but I think Nick's saying that the preference reversal issue doesn't apply and that's OK, because as we've defined it now 2A is no longer the same thing as a 34% chance of 1A and a 66% chance of nothing, because in the context of what thomblake said we're assuming you get the information at different times. (We're assuming the 34% chance is not for your being certain now of getting 1A, but for your being certain only later of getting 1A, which breaks the symmetry.)

Comment author: Nick_Tarleton 30 April 2009 12:24:19AM *  0 points [-]

Yes, that's what I meant.