Yvain comments on Bayes for Schizophrenics: Reasoning in Delusional Disorders - Less Wrong
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Really? I don't see that at all. The same mental state can be both an inference and a premise for the next inference. For example, "I feel really tired lately -> Maybe I'm sick" seems pretty straightforward, as does "I am a guy and feel really attracted to other guys -> maybe I'm gay".
You're thinking of the inference as "I don't feel affection when I see her face -> She's not my wife". Whereas, another way to think about it is "Her face looks like [insert description of wife's face here] -> She's not my wife".