CarlShulman comments on AI timeline predictions: are we getting better? - Less Wrong

54 Post author: Stuart_Armstrong 17 August 2012 07:07AM

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Comment author: CarlShulman 15 August 2012 12:53:29AM 15 points [-]

You might break out the predictions which were self-selected, i.e. people chose to make a public deal of their views, as opposed to those which were elicited from less selected groups, e.g. surveys at conferences. One is more likely to think it worth talking about AI timelines in public if one thinks them short.