Kaj_Sotala comments on AI timeline predictions: are we getting better? - Less Wrong

54 Post author: Stuart_Armstrong 17 August 2012 07:07AM

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Comment author: Unnamed 14 August 2012 07:20:24PM 0 points [-]

Is that more or less than what we'd expect if there was no relationship between age and predictions? If you randomly paired predictions with ages (sampling separately from the two distributions), what proportion would be within the "lifetime"?

Comment author: Kaj_Sotala 15 August 2012 09:19:30AM 0 points [-]

Looks roughly like it - see this comment.