handoflixue comments on AI timeline predictions: are we getting better? - Less Wrong

54 Post author: Stuart_Armstrong 17 August 2012 07:07AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (78)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: Stuart_Armstrong 16 August 2012 09:34:01PM 1 point [-]

Is that really a priori? ie did you come up with that idea before seeing this post?

Comment author: handoflixue 16 August 2012 11:16:00PM 0 points [-]

I would a priori assume that "experts" with quote marks are mainly interested in attention, and extreme predictions here are unlikely to get positive attention (Saying AI will happen in 75+ years is boring, saying it will happen tomorrow kills your credibility)

So, for me at least, yes.