handoflixue comments on AI timeline predictions: are we getting better? - Less Wrong
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Comments (78)
Is that really a priori? ie did you come up with that idea before seeing this post?
I would a priori assume that "experts" with quote marks are mainly interested in attention, and extreme predictions here are unlikely to get positive attention (Saying AI will happen in 75+ years is boring, saying it will happen tomorrow kills your credibility)
So, for me at least, yes.