TGM comments on The noncentral fallacy - the worst argument in the world? - Less Wrong
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More generally, it is worth noting that a very tempting class of bad arguments is those which are slightly true, such as this.
Reminds me of http://lesswrong.com/lw/aq2/fallacies_as_weak_bayesian_evidence/
That's more or less the point of http://lesswrong.com/lw/aq2/fallacies_as_weak_bayesian_evidence/.