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gjm comments on The noncentral fallacy - the worst argument in the world? - Less Wrong
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Would any of the (at least four) people who have upvoted Eliezer's comment but not my response -- or Eliezer, if he happens still to be reading -- like to explain to me in what way Eliezer is right and I'm wrong here? Thanks!
Generally speaking, there are fewer upvotes later in a thread, since fewer people read that far. If the children to your comment have more karma then your comment, it's reasonable to assume that people saw both comments and chose to up vote theirs, but if a parent to your comment has more karma, you can't really draw any inference from that at all.
Except that when I made my comment, Eliezer's was at zero. Er, it might have been +1, but it certainly wasn't +4.
There's not necessarily even one of those, let alone four. Four people could have upvoted both of you and then four other people could have downvoted just you.
D'oh! Of course you're right. I should have said: either upvoted Eliezer's comment but not mine, or downvoted mine but not Eliezer's.