Douglas_Knight comments on [Link] Quantity Always Trumps Quality - Less Wrong

11 [deleted] 31 August 2012 05:15PM

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Comment author: gwern 31 August 2012 06:10:16PM 9 points [-]

I see your anecdote, and I raise it and the evidence hierarchy with Ericsson's correlational research on "deliberate practice".

Comment author: Douglas_Knight 31 August 2012 06:25:19PM 3 points [-]

I can't parse your sentence, so I have no idea what you are saying, but two things that may be relevant:
1. This is a randomized controlled experiment, not an anecdote.
2. This experiment shows benefit from arbitrary practice, not deliberate practice.

Comment author: Morendil 31 August 2012 09:41:13PM 3 points [-]

I can't parse your sentence

Ah, the zeugma - always a classy figure of speech, but sometimes a risky one. Victor Hugo was good at them.

Comment author: gwern 31 August 2012 06:46:17PM 11 points [-]
  1. You don't know that it was an actual experiment of any kind, so it remains an anecdote: this story is now at least at third-hand - the source to the book to Atwood (to Konkvistador). Some searches turn up nothing beyond Atwood, and the book is not usefully available online (Google Books at least confirms some sort of passage like that is in it, but provides no context - like perhaps any mention by the author that it's just a story he was once told or something like that).
  2. This claims benefit from arbitrary practice; real research by real researchers where one can give real citations shows an overall effect that is opposite: that people who practice a lot can quickly plateau no matter how many decades they spend on it, and deliberate practice is necessary to go beyond that.
Comment author: Vaniver 31 August 2012 06:51:35PM 4 points [-]

Well, it might even be a parable, which is even worse than an anecdote!

Comment author: Douglas_Knight 31 August 2012 07:18:24PM 3 points [-]

If the point of your original comment was to say that this contradicts Ericsson's work, I suggest you rewrite it.

There are lots of reasons to be skeptical of this claim, but calling it an "anecdote" evokes all the wrong ones. Frankly, I can only describe this usage as deceit. I blame the hierarchy of evidence.

Comment author: wedrifid 01 September 2012 02:55:57AM -1 points [-]

If the point of your original comment was to say that this contradicts Ericsson's work, I suggest you rewrite it.

Furthermore, if that was the point he should retract it in shame.

Comment author: Douglas_Knight 31 August 2012 07:41:12PM 2 points [-]

Why do you care that it is third-hand? Do you think something was lost in the transmission from Atwood to Konvistador? It is easy to check that nothing was lost there. The fact that it is third-hand is evidence of memetic stability, but tracking down the book will not change that. (and I could level the same charge at Ericsson)

In fact, I did look at the book and I assert (sadly) that nothing was lost in Kevin Kelly's transcription. It is the first paragraph of the section and moves on to drawing conclusions.

Comment author: gwern 31 August 2012 07:55:53PM *  6 points [-]

Sourcing is key because every step introduces error. And you misunderstand: Atwood to Konkvistador would be a fourth-hand, if one wanted to include it. Count the steps.

In fact, I did look at the book and I assert (sadly) that nothing was lost in Kevin Kelly's transcription.

So then, it's essentially worthless. There is no citation, no context, nothing to situate it in any time, place, country or year besides 'the 20th century': we can't even tell how many steps we are removed from the origin since you say there was no context like "many years ago, an old friend of mine was taking a pottery class".

Just another persuasive parable floating around.

I'll stick with Ericsson's research, thanks. Mindless practice is not useful; deliberate practice is useful.

Comment author: Douglas_Knight 02 September 2012 05:09:38PM 0 points [-]

Mindless practice is not useful

Where does Ericsson say this?

Comment author: gwern 02 September 2012 05:36:17PM 0 points [-]

He doesn't say that explicitly that I can recall; it's just the theme running through his research, background research, and the theories.

Comment author: Douglas_Knight 02 September 2012 09:14:43PM 1 point [-]

Thanks for teaching me a lesson on second-hand sources.

Comment author: [deleted] 01 September 2012 07:21:39AM *  0 points [-]

I'll stick with Ericsson's research, thanks. Mindless practice is not useful; deliberate practice is useful.

I didn't see this parable extolling the virtue of mindless practice rather than the virtue of doing huge amounts of work if you really want to create remarkable outliers.

Comment author: siodine 02 September 2012 05:48:03PM *  0 points [-]

What ensures "memetic stability", Heisenberg compensators? Or just the fact that it was passed along?