mrglwrf comments on Rationality Quotes September 2012 - Less Wrong

7 Post author: Jayson_Virissimo 03 September 2012 05:18AM

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Comment author: Vaniver 07 September 2012 08:05:28PM 9 points [-]

"How many lives do you suppose you've saved in your medical career? … Hundreds? Thousands? Do you suppose those people give a damn that you lied to get into Starfleet Medical? I doubt it.

Presuming that Starfleet Medical has limited enrollment, and that if he hadn't lied, a superior candidate would have enrolled, then that superior candidate would have saved those hundreds or thousands, and then a few more.

Comment author: mrglwrf 10 September 2012 09:01:37PM 0 points [-]

I see no good reason to presume a correlation between a med school's admissions criteria and total lives saved over a doctor's career as tight as this reasoning requires. Or to presume that it is near certain that if he hadn't lied, another liar wouldn't have been accepted in his place.

Comment author: Eugine_Nier 11 September 2012 04:48:08AM 5 points [-]

This reasoning merely requires that the correlation exist and be positive.