= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
wedrifid comments on Rationality Quotes September 2012 - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (1088)
It means that many kinds of observation that you could make will tend to cause you to update that probability less.
Concretely: Beta(1,2) and Beta(400,800) have the same mean.
I don't understand K to be arguing in favor of high-entropy priors, or T to be arguing in favor of low-entropy priors. My guess is that TimS would call a position a "strong position" if it was accompanied by some kind of political activism.
I think of a strong position as a low-entropy posterior, but rereading I am not confident that's what TimS meant, and I also don't see the connection to politics.
E.T. Jaynes' Probability Theory goes into some detail about that in the chapter about what he calls the A_p distribution.