jeremysalwen comments on Less Wrong Polls in Comments - Less Wrong

79 Post author: jimrandomh 19 September 2012 04:19PM

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Comment author: jeremysalwen 20 September 2012 02:56:07PM 4 points [-]

Hey everyone, I just voted, and so I can see the correct answer. The average is 19.2, so you should choose 17%!

Comment author: [deleted] 20 September 2012 08:51:21PM 0 points [-]

Of course that's what you'd say...

Comment author: jeremysalwen 20 September 2012 08:53:58PM 1 point [-]

Or maybe that's what I want you to think I'd say...

Comment author: [deleted] 20 September 2012 08:58:39PM 0 points [-]

The noise in my simulations quickly drown out any actual logic and the markov chain reaches its stable distribution.

Comment author: jeremysalwen 20 September 2012 09:06:51PM 0 points [-]

So what did you guess then?

Comment author: [deleted] 20 September 2012 09:08:45PM 4 points [-]

I guessed "the only winning move is not to play"

(I didn't guess. rationalization: I didn't want to do the thinking, and can't see the results anyway)