paper-machine comments on Less Wrong Polls in Comments - Less Wrong

79 Post author: jimrandomh 19 September 2012 04:19PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (302)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: royf 20 September 2012 05:03:05PM *  5 points [-]

To anyone thinking this is not random, with 42 votes in:

  • The p-value is 0.895 (this is the probability of seeing at least this much non-randomness, assuming a uniform distribution)

  • The entropy is 2.302bits instead of log(5) = 2.322bits, for 0.02bits KL-distance (this is the number of bits you lose for encoding one of these votes as if it was random)

If you think you see a pattern here, you should either see a doctor or a statistician.

Comment author: DanArmak 20 September 2012 06:19:33PM 3 points [-]

I wish I could see a doctor-statistician. Or at least a doctor who understood statistics.

Comment author: shminux 20 September 2012 06:34:14PM 6 points [-]

Yvain might some day have his own practice.

Comment author: kerspoon 25 September 2012 12:29:23PM 0 points [-]