Jayson_Virissimo comments on Any existential risk angles to the US presidential election? - Less Wrong
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I just realized that one doesn't even need to invoke game theory for voting to make sense. If there are N voters in an election, the probability of you being the deciding vote is approximately
, but the number of people affected by the result is approximately N (probably more since a lot of people don't vote). Thus, the expected number of people you'll affect is
.
Not voting (especially if you tell others you didn't vote) also affects people. You are going to need to subtract this to get the net effects.
This affect seems like it would be limited to one's immediate acquaintances, also it seems like it would have a smaller affect on them than which administration they live under.