Comment on No Anthropic Evidence

Sun, 23 Sep 2012 19:55:30 GMT

in a certain sense it may feel that this implies that the gun is likely loaded

I have no idea in what sense (short of the quantum immortality speculations) the gun can be considered likely loaded. 1000 heads means unfair coin, not loaded gun. If you are 100% sure (how un-Bayesian) that the coin is fair, then the past history does not matter. In which case you should keep playing, since your probability of survival is at least 50%, better than in the case of quitting.

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