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Esar comments on Rationality Quotes October 2012 - Less Wrong
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True, logically it could just be the case that both trade and no trade lead to war... I think most people would interpret claims more meaningfully, however, in which case trade and war is useful to have examples of.
'No trade then war' could well be an informative causal claim, or a reliable generalization even if its also sometimes true that war follows trade as well.