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Alejandro1 comments on Skill: The Map is Not the Territory - Less Wrong
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You are leaving your home in the morning, to return in the evening; your day will involve quite a bit of walking and public transport. It is now warm and sunny, but you know that a temperature drop with heavy rains is forecasted for the afternoon. Looking out at the window and thinking of the walk in the sun and the crowded bus, you don't feel like carrying around a coat and umbrella. You start thinking maybe the forecast is wrong...
I put a pocket umbrella and/or a foldable raincoat into my handbag. Duh.
Carrying around a handbag in the first place happens to be something that I find annoying and risky. I'm prone to leaving it in easy-to-notice, easy-to-steal places or outright forgetting it in some public location.
Now that I think about that, that happened to me exactly once (as far as I can remember) with a handbag, though it happens to me very often¹ with other items such as keys, jackets, sweatshirts and sometimes my iPod. (I usually² eventually manage to recover them, but not always.) I guess that's because I'm more likely to immediately notice that I'm missing my bag than that I'm missing my keys.
Around once per month in average.
Around 90% of the times.
Yes, that is clearly the optimal solution. I was assuming you don't own those two items, or that you don't have a handbag the right size or don't want to use it--more plausible for a man that for a woman, I guess.