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yli comments on Rationality: Appreciating Cognitive Algorithms - Less Wrong
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If you're willing to say "X" whenever you believe X, then if you say "I believe X" but aren't willing to say "X", your statement that you believe X is actually false. But in conversations, the rule that you're willing to say everything you believe doesn't hold.
Not exactly. If you assign 80% probability to something, you're still allowed to say that you believe it. It's just an evaluation of your model, I believe.