MaoShan comments on Causal Diagrams and Causal Models - Less Wrong

61 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 12 October 2012 09:49PM

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Comment author: MaoShan 02 November 2012 01:12:43AM *  1 point [-]

Sorry for the delay, I got caught up in the Halloween spirit. As for the following table, it lists the date and recorded weight on that date.

  • 10/13--149.0 (lb.)
  • 10/14--149.9
  • 10/15--149.5
  • 10/16--151.2
  • 10/17--151.9
  • 10/18--149.7
  • 10/20--151.0
  • 10/21--151.2
  • 10/22--149.3
  • 10/23--148.4
  • 10/24--148.2
  • 10/25--146.8
  • 10/26--147.3
  • 10/27--146.4

As you can see, I did not reach the goal that I set. The excuse--er, explanation, is that I made that claim on the very day I started a week-long vacation. Hence, I was much more sedentary than while working, and I ate more frequent and larger meals than on workdays. October 22 was the day I returned to work, and was also the day that I actually began losing weight, so my 2-week prediction actually had about a week cut off, and (anecdotally) shows both sides of the story in doing so. On the upside, I progressed pretty far in Paper Mario. If I had started the two weeks from the 22nd, I have lost about 7lb. since then. Hopefully this provides some data for anyone interested.

Comment author: CCC 03 November 2012 01:32:50PM 1 point [-]

Hmmm. Thank you for the data.