AnthonyC comments on The Fabric of Real Things - Less Wrong

16 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 12 October 2012 02:11AM

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Comment author: beoShaffer 12 October 2012 05:13:10AM 2 points [-]

There may or may not be intervening steps, but if your cousins predictions are accurate we can create causal models that either have predictions->card drawn or card drawn->predictions.

Comment author: AnthonyC 12 October 2012 08:52:15PM 1 point [-]

Or Great Psychiator->Card drawn ^ Great Psychiator->predictions

Which might look the same to use here within the universe but is far less likely as a prior.