The increases for unaffiliated are most pronounced in the youngest
No, increase in unaffiliated is the same 3 points for older millenials, gen X, and boomers, with no change in older people. It is much less pronounced in any cohort than in the population as a whole. Younger millenials are not "up to 34%," but have only been measured once, at 34%.
Over the past 5 years, half of the effect is due to "young" people, including boomers, becoming less affiliated, but the other half is a cohort effect as old people dying off and are replaced by young people with a much lower rate of affiliation.
Yes, the youngest cohort in each study are different cohorts, and I was comparing those two different cohorts.
But thanks for bringing to my attention the 2007-2012 cohorts graph.
A new study by the Pew Forum on Religion and Public Life [executive summary; full report; New York Times cover story] found that 19.6% of adult Americans answered a question about their current religion by saying they were atheist, agnostic or “nothing in particular.” In 2007, the figure was 15.3%; in 1972, it was about 7%.
Some relevant quotes from the executive summary: